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Prediction Markets for KPIs. Now Live!

Fiscal.ai, which is our Fund IV portfolio company at Social Leverage, just announced a HUGE partnership with Kalshi!

I announced my thoughts below on LinkedIn. You can imagine predicting the number of rides per quarter on $UBER ( ▼ 2.1% ) or $DASH ( ▼ 1.7% ) deliveries- the opportunities are endless, and the opportunity to use unique datasets to predict these KPIs is going to be fun to watch. The best part is that Kalshi is using the KPI data from Fiscal.ai to make these markets. Fiscal.ai has built some of the fastest, most accurate KPI data in the world, and they are now the official data behind these prediction markets. If you aren’t using their API data yet, reach out and I will connect you!

Prediction markets for company KPIs are a game-changer. This is the markets that pulls every institutional investor in. Think about markets where you can predict for $UBER the number of rides last… | Matt Ober

Prediction markets for company KPIs are a game-changer. This is the markets that pulls every institutional investor in. Think about markets where you can predict for $UBER the number of rides last quarter. Or the number of DoorDash deliveries. Or even the number of vehicles that $TSLA will deliver. Hedge funds, especially the pod shops, are spending a ton of time and effort forecasting quarterly earnings. But the teams, especially data science teams, have always been good at using unique data to predict the KPIs. You can’t control whether the stock goes up or down on earnings announcements. But now you can make money by being the most accurate in predicting KPIs. Or even use prediction markets on KPIs as a hedge. This is the market that brings in billions of $$$ from institutional traders. It’s a no-brainer. When I worked at a hedge fund, we used credit card data, foot traffic, camera footage, satellites, and endless other sources to predict KPIs. And we were very accurate, and even more importantly, we were great at being directionally accurate (beat or miss). Now this is a whole new market of opportunity to place your predictions on these KPIs! Congrats to the partnership of Kalshi with Fiscal AI KPI data! Excited to see our Social Leverage portfolio company bringing this to the prediction markets!

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